If not the sun...
The global thermostat
Serious students of climate change (starting with James Lovelock in the early 60') have repeatedly observed that the temperature of the Earth is remarkably stable over the entire history of life. In the face of sometimes dramatic changes in solar output, our planet has enjoyed a very stable average temperature throughout. Why? What keeps the Earth's surface temperature so constant?
Today there is no serious question that the Earth is undergoing dramatic warming; the question is not 'if', but 'why' this is happening. Skeptics of the idea that human behavior is the root cause of the current warming of the earth's atmosphere will often point to recorded fluctuations of the sun as the main culpret behind global temperature fluctuations; in this way they feel absolved from responsibility and any need to correct human behavior - hey, its the sun...its a 'natural' thing.
Leaving aside the wisdom of ignoring changes that will dramatically impact human existence on earth, natural or not, the evidence is acumulating that fluctuations in the output of the sun have nothing directly to do with observed recent global warming trends. Sure the sun heats everything on earth, but the linkage between the heat of the sun and the heat of the atmosphere is, as Lovelock tried to tell us 40 years ago, much more complex than we understand. The fact is that there has been a 25% increase in heat from the sun since life began but surface temperature has remained approximately constant until now. Why?
Absent a good theory of how atmospheric temperature regulation actually works, we are none the less confronted with the unpleasant possibility that we may have inadvertently changed something, in modern times, that is critically important to the ability of the system to self regulate; we may have broken the 'global thermostat'.
Climate doesn't swing to the rhythm of the sun
CLAIMS that increased solar activity could explain the world's warming climate are challenged by a study of Irish bogs. The research, which is a fresh blow to climate sceptics, shows that while there are cyclical changes in both climate and the sun's activity, there is no obvious link between the two.
...To deduce climate variations over the same period, the team used an archive of more than 750 excavated trees from the bogs, dating back 7648 years, to gauge tree cover. Periods of more abundant cover indicate relatively warm and dry spells, while sparser cover suggests the climate was wetter and cooler, since a higher water table makes it difficult for saplings to flourish.
"We find a clear cycle in wetting and drying phases, with shifts about every 800 years," says Turney. But the peaks in solar activity do not coincide with peaks in warmer conditions.
Climate doesn't swing to the rhythm of the sun
Don't blame the Sun for all global warming woes
Blaming the Sun for all the woes related to global warming looks less tenable an argument following the publication of a research paper on climate cycles in the latest issue of the Journal of Quaternary Science.
There have been several ideas as to what has been driving climate change over the past 10,000 years, according to the papers lead author and radiocarbon dating expert Dr Chris Turney from the University of Wollongongs GeoQuEST Research Group at the School of Earth and Environmental Sciences. He and his international co-researchers have concluded in their paper titled, Testing solar forcing of pervasive Holocene climate cycles that solar activity is not the primary force.
